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نویسنده
چکیده
The reprint that follows this introduction is the second part of an articlel published in Theoretical Medicine by myself and Alfred Welljams-Dorof, my scientific assistant at the Institute for Scientific Information@’(ISF’). The paper addresses an interesting point that has been explored in previous Current Comments@ essays: Do quantitative rankings of highly cited authors confirm-and even anticipate—Nobel prize awards? The first part of tbe reprinted paperz presented an overview of six previous 1S1studies of most-cited authors. It discussed the number of authors who had already won the prize at the time each essay was originally published as well as the number who later went on to become Nobel laureates. These undifferentiated rankings were shown to have effectively identified a relatively small set of authors “of Nobel class,” including actual Nobelists. In the second part reprinted here, the possibility of forecasting Nobel prizewinners using citation data is discussed. We present a list of 100 authors who were most cited from 1981 through 1990 for papers they published during this period. Eight Nobelists appear on the list, and it will be
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